Race for the No. 1 pick in 2024 NFL Draft Its come down to the Bears and Patriots
Race for the No. 1 pick in 2024 NFL Draft Its come down to the Bears and Patriots
Blog Article
Now that the regular season is over, the 2024 chatter can officially begin. As we enter the late stages of the regular season, the playoff picture -- and 2024 draft order -- are becoming more clear.Following the conclusion of Week 13, there are three teams with the best chances to win the Caleb Williams or Drake Maye sweepstakes: The , and . Which squad will "out-lose" the others?Below, we will break down the percentage chances for each team to win the No. 1 overall pick, according to SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh's simulations. Let's start with the most interesting team in this race.Odds to land No. 1 overall pick:67.1%As the Panthers continue to lose games, it appears more and more likely the Bears will be selecting first overall in the 2024 . Eight months ago, the Bears sold the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 to Isaiah McDuffie Jersey the Panthers for wide receiver , two picks in the 2023 draft, Carolina's 2024 first-round pick and a 2025 second-round pick. The Panthers used that pick to select Alabama quarterback , which hasn't worked out just yet.The Bears, who currently sit at 4-8, have a 0.6% chance at the No. 1 overall pick with their own selection. But thanks to owning Carolina's selection, Chicago has a 67.1% overall chance at picking first. What a disaster for the Panthers, who are the worst team in the league, and don't even own their first-round pick to help in the rebuild. Bears remaining scheduleWeekOpponent14vs. 15at 16vs. Arizona Cardinals17vs. 18at Current record: 4-8Projected final record: 6-11Panthers remaining scheduleWeekOpponent14at 15vs. Atlanta Falcons16vs. Green Bay Packers17at 18vs. Current Ray Nitschke Jersey record: 1-11Projected final record: 2-15Odds to land No. 1 overall pick:29.7%Things are getting worse and worse for the Patriots. Their 6-0 lo s to the on Sunday gave them the honor of being theto lose three straight games while allowing 10 or fewer points in each. It also marked the Patriots' fifth game this season scoring 7 or fewer points.Bill Belichick benched for , but the Western Kentucky product completed 13 of 25 pa ses for just 141 yards, while the Patriots failed to reach the red zone. How bad is this offense? The Patriots are 1-3 this year when allowing 10 or fewer points. The rest Allen Lazard Jersey of the NFL is 53-0.Patriots remaining scheduleWeekOpponent14at 15vs. 16at 17at 18vs. Current record: 2-10Projected final record: 3-14Odds to land No. 1 overall pick:3.1%The Cardinals entered 2023 as the preseason favorites to be the worst team in the league. However, Arizona has somewhat overperformed. kept the Cards competitive through the early stages of the regular season, and now is back under center. The Cards registered a rather impre sive 24-10 victory over the Steelers on Sunday, as ran wild with 105 rushing yards and two touchdowns in his revenge game, while Arizona went 10 of 17 on third downs and 3 for 3 in the red zone. With that victory, the Cardinals' chances for the top pick fell from 22% to just 3.1%.Cardinals remaining scheduleWeekOpponent15vs. 16at Chicago Bears17at 18vs. Current record: 3-10Projected final record: 4-13TeamNo. 1 pickChicago Bears67.1%New England Patriots29.7%Arizona Cardinals3.1%Other0.1%
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